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Making a Career in Dictatorship: The Secret Logic Behind Repression and Coups. Oxford University Press, forthcoming on February 13, 2026. Who loyally carries out the dictator's dirty work? And which individuals actively conspire against the leader? This book uncovers the hidden career logic of authoritarian security forces. We show how stalled promotion prospects drive some officers into the regime’s repressive units while pushing others to gamble on coups. Loyalty and betrayal, we argue, spring from the same source: career pressure inside the dictatorship’s security apparatus. Drawing on unique data covering all 14,700 Argentine army officers, we demonstrate that those facing forced retirement were far more likely than their peers to become either henchmen or plotters. We then extend this logic beyond Argentina, tracing how similar pressures shaped extreme (dis)loyalty in Nazi Germany, Stalin’s Soviet Union, and Jawara’s Gambia. Finally, a global analysis of authoritarian regimes from 1945 to 2020 reveals the systemic link between repression and coup attempts. By exposing how dictatorships turn professional dead ends into engines of violence and subversion, the book reshapes our understanding of authoritarian politics, bureaucratic compliance, sabotage, and regime survival. Pre-order now |
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"Mundane individual concerns often drive large-scale, collective phenomena. Scharpf and Gläßel provide a masterful demonstration of this important and relatively overlooked mechanism [...]."
- Stathis N. Kalyvas, University of Oxford "This groundbreaking book [...] is sure to fascinate and inform students and observers of authoritarian politics alike." - Erica Frantz, Michigan State University "In the present era of democratic backsliding, it has become crucial to understand what motivates today's aspiring strongmen. This timely monograph does precisely that, and it does it masterfully!" - Lars-Erik Cederman, ETH Zürich |
"A must-read for anyone interested in understanding the security apparatus that undergirds authoritarianism."
- Jennifer Gandhi, Yale University "Compelling reading for anyone seeking to understand the banality of evil, or at least of evil organizations." - Jacob N. Shapiro, Princeton University "This must-read and incredibly timely book explains how the handmaidens of authoritarianism and those risking their lives to stop it through coups are driven by the same misfortune: stalling careers in the security services." - Jennifer Earl, University of Delaware |
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2025. "Dictatorships and Western Public Relations Firms: Evidence from the United States." Security Studies (Online First) [with Adam Scharpf and Alexander Dukalskis]
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2025. "Does Sportswashing Work? First Insights from the 2022 World Cup in Qatar." The Journal of Politics 87(1): 388-392 [with Adam Scharpf and Pearce Edwards]
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2024. "Media Impact on Perceptions in Postwar Societies: Insights from Nepal" Conflict Management and Peace Science 42(4): 394-417 [with Sabine Carey and Katrin Paula]
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2023. "The Political Effects of Witnessing State Atrocities: Evidence from the Nazi Death Marches." Comparative Political Studies (Online First): 1-36 [with Alexander de Juan, Felix Haaß, and Adam Scharpf]
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2023. "International Sports Events and Repression in Autocracies: Evidence from the 1978 FIFA World Cup." American Political Science Review 117(3): 909 - 926 [with Adam Scharpf and Pearce Edwards]
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2022. "Career Pressures and Organizational Evil: A Novel Perspective on the Study of Organized Violence." International Studies Review 24(3): 1-23 [with Adam Scharpf]
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2022. "Divergent Perceptions of Peace in Post-conflict Societies: Insights from Sri Lanka." Journal of Conflict Resolution 66(9): 1589–1618 [with Sabine Carey and Belén González]
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2020. "Sometimes Less Is More: Censorship, News Falsification, and Disapproval in 1989 East Germany." American Journal of Political Science 64(3): 682-698 [with Katrin Paula]
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2020. "Why Underachievers Dominate Secret Police Organizations: Evidence from Autocratic Argentina." American Journal of Political Science 64(4): 791-806 [with Adam Scharpf]
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2020. "Grist to the Mill of Subversion: Strikes and Coups in Counterinsurgencies." European Journal of International Relations 26(4): 1032-1060 [with Belén González and Adam Scharpf]
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2024. "The Authoritarian Security Apparatus: Officer Careers and the Trade-offs in Command." In Natasha Lindstaedt & Jeroen J.J. Van den Bosch (Eds.), Research Handbook on Authoritarianism (111–126). Edward Elgar Publishing [with Belén González and Adam Scharpf]
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